Using Twitter To Predict The #GE2015 Outcome

Here's a very silly idea. Can we use the number of followers each candidate has to predict who will win the election?

No, probably not - but let's give it a try anyway, eh?

Hypothesis

Support on Twitter - as measured by the number of followers - is a reasonable predictor of electoral success.

It is likely that the incumbent MP will have a large number of followers - having been in the public eye for five years and (possibly) being on Twitter that long.

It is also likely that MPs with high-profile jobs - like Chancellor, Leader of the Opposition, etc - will be followed by a range of people outside their constituency. These candidates are usually in safe seats, but not always.

These factors may skew the results.

Apparatus

• Tweepy - a Twitter Library for Python.
• YourNextMP - free and open crowdsourced data about every candidate standing.

Method

YourNextMP provides a CSV showing every candidate in every constituency. 72% of candidates have a Twitter ID listed against their name.

For each constituency, we take all the candidates and, if they have Twitter handles, we see which candidate has the most followers.

This data was collected on the weekend before the election. It took around 2 hours to run thanks to Twitter's rate limits. Follower numbers may have changed since and during the run.

Results

Based on this extremely unscientific measurement the results are...

Party	Seats
Labour Party	247
Conservative Party	204
Liberal Democrats	69
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	36
Scottish National Party (SNP)	24
Green Party	23
Sinn Féin	7
Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	5
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	5
Ulster Unionist Party	5
English Democrats	4
Independent	3
SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party)	3
Pirate Party UK	2
The Respect Party	1
Speaker seeking re-election	1
Class War	1
British Independents	1
Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol	1
Something New	1
Digital Democracy	1
Democratic Unionist Party - D.U.P.	1
Red Flag - Anti-Corruption	1
The Independent Political Alliance Party	1
Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First	1
Scottish Green Party	1
Traditional Unionist Voice - TUV	1

Although that doesn't look like anything the reputable polls are showing, it does look strikingly close to what proportional representation would achieve. A strong showing from the main parties, but with the absolute need to work with the smaller parties in order to sustain a stable government.

Incidentally, Transmute performed a similar exercise back in February. It's interesting to see how the data have changed since Election Season kicked off.

Conclusion

Well, come the results on Friday, I'll update this to show just how accurately this "poll" performed.

There are some obvious deviations from the likely reality.

In Birmingham, Perry Barr - the Green candidate has been active on Twitter since 2009. The incumbent only since February 2015. An improved polling model could correct for this.

While the Pirate Party's Cris Chesha is probably a terrific chap, he is unlikely to defeat the incumbent Gerald Kaufman who doesn't Tweet.

Indeed, in Beckenham, it is only the Lib Dems' Anuja Punj Prashar with a Twitter presence.

Raw Data

You want every result? Here you go!

Constituency	Party	MP	Vote %
Aberavon	Labour Party	stephen kinnock	45%
Aberconwy	Conservative Party	Guto Bebb	53%
Aberdeen North	Liberal Democrats	Euan Davidson	37%
Aberdeen South	Labour Party	Anne Begg	78%
Airdrie and Shotts	Labour Party	Pamela Nash	87%
Aldershot	Conservative Party	Sir Gerald Howarth	83%
Aldridge-Brownhills	Conservative Party	wendy morton .	59%
Altrincham and Sale West	Liberal Democrats	Jane Brophy	72%
Alyn and Deeside	Labour Party	Mark Tami	40%
Amber Valley	Conservative Party	Nigel Mills	66%
Angus	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Mike Weir	71%
Arfon	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	Hywel Williams	82%
Argyll and Bute	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Caroline Santos	46%
Arundel and South Downs	Conservative Party	Nick Herbert	52%
Ashfield	Labour Party	Gloria De Piero	94%
Ashford	Conservative Party	Damian	82%
Ashton-under-Lyne	Labour Party	Angela Rayner	72%
Aylesbury	Conservative Party	David Lidington	79%
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Cllr Corri Wilson	71%
Banbury	Green Party	Ian Middleton	67%
Banff and Buchan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Eilidh Whiteford	52%
Barking	Labour Party	Margaret Hodge	97%
Barnsley Central	Labour Party	Dan Jarvis	95%
Barnsley East	Labour Party	Michael Dugher	92%
Barrow and Furness	Labour and Co-operative Party	John Woodcock	94%
Basildon and Billericay	Labour Party	Gavin Callaghan	86%
Basingstoke	Labour Party	Dr Paul Harvey	48%
Bassetlaw	Labour Party	John Mann	96%
Bath	Conservative Party	Ben Howlett	48%
Batley and Spen	Labour Party	Jo Cox	86%
Battersea	Conservative Party	Jane Ellison	59%
Beaconsfield	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Tim Scott	83%
Beckenham	Liberal Democrats	Anuja Punj Prashar	100%
Bedford	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Charlie Smith UKIP	50%
Belfast East	Sinn Féin	Niall Ó Donnghaile	36%
Belfast North	Sinn Féin	Gerry Kelly	64%
Belfast South	Sinn Féin	Máirtín Ó Muilleoir	61%
Belfast West	Sinn Féin	Paul Maskey	61%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Liberal Democrats	Simon Hughes	52%
Berwick-upon-Tweed	English Democrats	English Democrats	36%
Berwickshire Roxburgh and Selkirk	Liberal Democrats	Michael Moore	61%
Bethnal Green and Bow	Labour Party	Rushanara Ali	83%
Beverley and Holderness	Conservative Party	Graham Stuart	85%
Bexhill and Battle	Liberal Democrats	Rachel Sadler	59%
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Conservative Party	David Evennett	65%
Birkenhead	Labour Party	Frank Field	96%
Birmingham Edgbaston	Labour Party	Gisela	83%
Birmingham Erdington	Labour Party	Jack Dromey	91%
Birmingham Hall Green	Labour Party	Roger Godsiff	74%
Birmingham Hodge Hill	Labour Party	Liam Byrne	92%
Birmingham Ladywood	Labour Party	Shabana Mahmood	92%
Birmingham Northfield	Labour Party	Richard Burden	61%
Birmingham Perry Barr	Green Party	James Lovatt	45%
Birmingham Selly Oak	Labour Party	Steve McCabe	70%
Birmingham Yardley	Liberal Democrats	John Hemming	58%
Bishop Auckland	Labour Party	Helen Goodman	83%
Blackburn	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Dayle Taylor	38%
Blackley and Broughton	Liberal Democrats	Richard Gadsden	79%
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	Conservative Party	Paul Maynard	88%
Blackpool South	Labour Party	Gordon Marsden	65%
Blaenau Gwent	Labour Party	nick smith	40%
Blaydon	Labour Party	Dave Anderson	58%
Blyth Valley	Labour Party	Blyth Valley Labour	48%
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	Green Party	Simon McDougall	44%
Bolsover	Conservative Party	Peter Bedford	95%
Bolton North East	Conservative Party	James Daly	51%
Bolton South East	Labour Party	Yasmin Qureshi	100%
Bolton West	Labour Party	Julie Hilling	76%
Bootle	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Paul Nuttall	92%
Boston and Skegness	Conservative Party	Matt Warman	66%
Bosworth	Liberal Democrats	Michael Mullaney	47%
Bournemouth East	Conservative Party	Tobias Ellwood	96%
Bournemouth West	Conservative Party	Conor Burns	94%
Bracknell	Conservative Party	Dr Phillip Lee	70%
Bradford East	Liberal Democrats	David Ward	91%
Bradford South	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Jason Smith UKIP	72%
Bradford West	The Respect Party	George Galloway	97%
Braintree	Conservative Party	James Cleverly	75%
Brecon and Radnorshire	Liberal Democrats	Roger Williams	64%
Brent Central	Green Party	Shahrar Ali	41%
Brent North	Labour Party	Barry Gardiner	89%
Brentford and Isleworth	Conservative Party	Mary Macleod	81%
Brentwood and Ongar	Conservative Party	Eric Pickles	94%
Bridgend	Labour Party	Madeleine Moon	71%
Bridgwater and West Somerset	Liberal Democrats	Theo Butt Philip	68%
Brigg and Goole	Conservative Party	Andrew Percy	83%
Brighton Kemptown	Conservative Party	Simon Kirby	52%
Brighton Pavilion	Green Party	Caroline Lucas	96%
Bristol East	Labour Party	Kerry McCarthy	89%
Bristol North West	Conservative Party	Charlotte Leslie	73%
Bristol South	Green Party	Tony Dyer	34%
Bristol West	Liberal Democrats	Stephen Williams	54%
Broadland	Green Party	Andrew Boswell	64%
Bromley and Chislehurst	Liberal Democrats	Sam Webber	37%
Bromsgrove	Conservative Party	Sajid Javid	90%
Broxbourne	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	David Platt	82%
Broxtowe	Conservative Party	Anna Soubry	81%
Buckingham	Speaker seeking re-election	John Bercow MP	100%
Burnley	Liberal Democrats	Gordon Birtwistle	73%
Burton	Conservative Party	Andrew Griffiths	61%
Bury North	Conservative Party	David Nuttall	79%
Bury South	Labour Party	Ivan Lewis	86%
Bury St Edmunds	Green Party	Helen Geake	46%
Caerphilly	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Sam Gould	46%
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Paul Monaghan	89%
Calder Valley	Conservative Party	Craig Whittaker	56%
Camberwell and Peckham	Labour Party	Harriet Harman	87%
Camborne and Redruth	Liberal Democrats	Julia Goldsworthy	67%
Cambridge	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Patrick O'Flynn	48%
Cannock Chase	Labour Party	Janos Toth	50%
Canterbury	Green Party	Stuart 4 Canterbury	39%
Cardiff Central	Liberal Democrats	Jenny Willott	54%
Cardiff North	Labour Party	Mari Williams	55%
Cardiff South and Penarth	Labour and Co-operative Party	Stephen Doughty	67%
Cardiff West	Labour Party	Kevin Brennan	76%
Carlisle	Labour Party	Lee Sherriff	47%
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	Jonathan Edwards	74%
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire	Conservative Party	Simon Hart	47%
Carshalton and Wallington	Liberal Democrats	Tom Brake	83%
Castle Point	Conservative Party	Rebecca Harris	71%
Central Ayrshire	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Philippa Whitford	83%
Central Devon	Green Party	Andy Williamson	46%
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich	Liberal Democrats	Jon Neal	34%
Ceredigion	Liberal Democrats	Mark Williams	49%
Charnwood	Labour Party	Sean Kelly-Walsh	93%
Chatham and Aylesford	Conservative Party	Tracey Crouch	74%
Cheadle	Liberal Democrats	Mark Hunter	53%
Chelmsford	Liberal Democrats	Stephen Robinson	73%
Chelsea and Fulham	Conservative Party	Greg Hands	90%
Cheltenham	Liberal Democrats	Martin Horwood	74%
Chesham and Amersham	Conservative Party	Cheryl Gillan	82%
Chesterfield	Labour Party	Toby Perkins	81%
Chichester	Conservative Party	Chi. Conservatives	30%
Chingford and Woodford Green	Class War	Lisa Mckenzie	67%
Chippenham	Liberal Democrats	Duncan Hames	59%
Chipping Barnet	Green Party	A. M. Poppy	61%
Chorley	Labour Party	Lindsay Hoyle	66%
Christchurch	Green Party	Shona Dunn	100%
Cities of London and Westminster	Conservative Party	Mark Field	54%
City of Chester	Conservative Party	Stephen Mosley	77%
City of Durham	Labour Party	R. Blackman-Woods	67%
Clacton	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Douglas Carswell	90%
Cleethorpes	Conservative Party	Martin Vickers	69%
Clwyd South	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	Mabon ap Gwynfor	92%
Clwyd West	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	marc jones	48%
Coatbridge Chryston and Bellshill	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Phil Boswell SNP	64%
Colchester	Labour Party	Jordan Newell	44%
Colne Valley	Conservative Party	Jason McCartney	73%
Congleton	Labour Party	Dr Darren Price	61%
Copeland	Labour Party	Jamie Reed	97%
Corby	Labour and Co-operative Party	Andy Sawford	62%
Coventry North East	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Nicky Downes	50%
Coventry North West	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Dave Nellist	91%
Coventry South	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Mark Taylor UKIP	50%
Crawley	Conservative Party	Re-Elect Henry Smith	53%
Crewe and Nantwich	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Cllr. Richard Lee	50%
Croydon Central	Conservative Party	Gavin Barwell	73%
Croydon North	Labour and Co-operative Party	Steve Reed	74%
Croydon South	Labour Party	Emily Benn	35%
Cumbernauld Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Labour Party	Gregg McClymont	87%
Cynon Valley	Labour Party	Ann Clwyd	56%
Dagenham and Rainham	Labour Party	Jon Cruddas	87%
Darlington	Labour Party	Jenny Chapman	55%
Dartford	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	joneselizab	55%
Daventry	Conservative Party	Chris Heaton-Harris	84%
Delyn	Labour Party	David Hanson	82%
Denton and Reddish	Labour Party	Andrew Gwynne	82%
Derby North	Labour Party	Chris Williamson	93%
Derby South	British Independents	David Gale	70%
Derbyshire Dales	Liberal Democrats	Benjamin Fearn	34%
Devizes	Conservative Party	Claire Perry	94%
Dewsbury	Conservative Party	Simon Reevell	43%
Don Valley	Labour Party	Caroline Flint	98%
Doncaster Central	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Chris Hodgson UKIP	86%
Doncaster North	Labour Party	Ed Miliband	100%
Dover	Conservative Party	Charlie Elphicke	67%
Dudley North	Labour Party	Ian Austin	51%
Dudley South	Labour Party	Natasha Millward	48%
Dulwich and West Norwood	Labour Party	Helen Hayes	41%
Dumfries and Galloway	Labour Party	Russell Brown	51%
Dumfriesshire Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Conservative Party	David Mundell	55%
Dundee East	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Stewart Hosie	88%
Dundee West	Labour Party	Michael Marra	36%
Dunfermline and West Fife	Labour Party	Thomas Docherty	40%
Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	Liz Saville Roberts	45%
Ealing Central and Acton	Conservative Party	Angie Bray	45%
Ealing North	Liberal Democrats	Kevin McNamara	100%
Ealing Southall	Labour Party	Virendra Sharma	72%
Easington	Labour Party	Grahame Morris	77%
East Antrim	Ulster Unionist Party	Roy Beggs	42%
East Devon	Conservative Party	Hugo Swire	74%
East Dunbartonshire	Liberal Democrats	Jo Swinson	69%
East Ham	Labour Party	Stephen Timms	69%
East Hampshire	Conservative Party	Damian Hinds	84%
East Kilbride Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Liberal Democrats	Paul McGarry	70%
East Londonderry	Sinn Féin	Caoimhe Archibald	55%
East Lothian	Labour Party	Fiona O'Donnell	46%
East Renfrewshire	Scottish National Party (SNP)	kirstenoswald	83%
East Surrey	Conservative Party	Sam Gyimah 2015	86%
East Worthing and Shoreham	Conservative Party	Tim Loughton	64%
East Yorkshire	Conservative Party	Sir Greg Knight	76%
Eastbourne	Conservative Party	Caroline Ansell	52%
Eastleigh	Liberal Democrats	Mike Thornton	61%
Eddisbury	Conservative Party	Antoinette Sandbach	82%
Edinburgh East	Labour Party	Sheila Gilmore	34%
Edinburgh North and Leith	Conservative Party	Iain McGill	29%
Edinburgh South	Labour Party	Ian Murray	59%
Edinburgh South West	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Joanna Cherry QC	47%
Edinburgh West	Liberal Democrats	Mike Crockart	40%
Edmonton	Labour and Co-operative Party	Kate Osamor	48%
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Labour Party	Justin Madders	38%
Elmet and Rothwell	Conservative Party	Alec Shelbrooke	64%
Eltham	Labour Party	Clive Efford	81%
Enfield North	Conservative Party	Nick de Bois	75%
Enfield Southgate	Conservative Party	David Burrowes	73%
Epping Forest	Green Party	Epping Forest Greens	34%
Epsom and Ewell	Independent	Lionel Blackman	32%
Erewash	Labour Party	Catherine Atkinson	48%
Erith and Thamesmead	Labour Party	teresa pearce	66%
Esher and Walton	Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol	Matt Heenan	80%
Exeter	Labour Party	Ben Bradshaw	88%
Falkirk	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	David Coburn MEP	93%
Fareham	Green Party	Miles Grindey	42%
Faversham and Mid Kent	English Democrats	English Democrats	66%
Feltham and Heston	Labour and Co-operative Party	Seema Malhotra	83%
Fermanagh and South Tyrone	Sinn Féin	Michelle Gildernew	65%
Filton and Bradley Stoke	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Cllr Ben Walker	64%
Finchley and Golders Green	Conservative Party	Mike Freer	51%
Folkestone and Hythe	Conservative Party	Damian Collins	50%
Forest of Dean	Conservative Party	Mark Harper	78%
Foyle	SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party)	Mark Durkan	71%
Fylde	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Paul White	65%
Gainsborough	Labour Party	David Prescott	88%
Garston and Halewood	Labour Party	Maria Eagle	99%
Gateshead	Labour Party	IanMearns4Gateshead	79%
Gedling	Labour Party	Vernon Coaker	81%
Gillingham and Rainham	Conservative Party	Rehman Chishti	34%
Glasgow Central	Labour Party	AnasSarwar	70%
Glasgow East	Labour Party	Margaret Curran	45%
Glasgow North	Labour Party	Ann McKechin	52%
Glasgow North East	Labour Party	William Bain	53%
Glasgow North West	Labour Party	John Robertson	56%
Glasgow South	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Stewart McDonald	45%
Glasgow South West	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Chris Stephens	41%
Glenrothes	Labour and Co-operative Party	Melanie Ward	87%
Gloucester	Conservative Party	Richard Graham	52%
Gordon	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Alex Salmond	97%
Gosport	Conservative Party	Caroline Dinenage	71%
Gower	Conservative Party	Byron Davies	76%
Grantham and Stamford	Conservative Party	Nick Boles	94%
Gravesham	Labour Party	Tanmanjeet S Dhesi	83%
Great Grimsby	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Victoria Ayling	33%
Great Yarmouth	Conservative Party	Brandon Lewis	81%
Greenwich and Woolwich	Labour Party	Matthew Pennycook	58%
Guildford	Conservative Party	Anne Milton	41%
Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Labour Party	Diane Abbott	97%
Hackney South and Shoreditch	Labour and Co-operative Party	MegHillierMP	53%
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Conservative Party	James Morris	42%
Halifax	Conservative Party	Philip Allott	45%
Haltemprice and Howden	Liberal Democrats	CarlMinns	91%
Halton	Labour Party	Derek Twigg	70%
Hammersmith	Labour Party	Andy Slaughter	65%
Hampstead and Kilburn	Labour Party	Tulip Siddiq	66%
Harborough	Labour Party	Sundip Meghani	73%
Harlow	Conservative Party	Robert Halfon	67%
Harrogate and Knaresborough	Conservative Party	Andrew Jones	52%
Harrow East	Labour Party	Uma Kumaran	56%
Harrow West	Labour and Co-operative Party	Gareth Thomas	77%
Hartlepool	Labour Party	Iain Wright	67%
Harwich and North Essex	Conservative Party	Bernard Jenkin	77%
Hastings and Rye	Conservative Party	Amber Rudd	55%
Havant	Conservative Party	Alan Mak	29%
Hayes and Harlington	Labour Party	John McDonnell	94%
Hazel Grove	Labour Party	Michael Taylor	61%
Hemel Hempstead	Labour Party	Tony Breslin	54%
Hemsworth	Labour Party	Jon Trickett	82%
Hendon	Labour Party	Andrew Dismore	50%
Henley	Conservative Party	John Howell	75%
Hereford and South Herefordshire	Conservative Party	Jesse Norman	95%
Hertford and Stortford	Conservative Party	Mark Prisk	59%
Hertsmere	Labour Party	Richard Butler	100%
Hexham	Conservative Party	Guy Opperman	50%
Heywood and Middleton	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	John Bickley	42%
High Peak	Conservative Party	Andrew Bingham	69%
Hitchin and Harpenden	Labour Party	Rachel Danae Burgin	55%
Holborn and St Pancras	Green Party	Natalie Bennett	86%
Hornchurch and Upminster	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Lawrence Webb	86%
Hornsey and Wood Green	Liberal Democrats	Lynne Featherstone	80%
Horsham	Something New	James Smith	73%
Houghton and Sunderland South	Labour Party	Bridget Phillipson	92%
Hove	Labour Party	Peter Kyle	50%
Huddersfield	Labour and Co-operative Party	Barry Sheerman	70%
Huntingdon	Conservative Party	Jonathan Djanogly	79%
Hyndburn	Conservative Party	Kevin Horkin	81%
Ilford North	Labour Party	Wes Streeting	95%
Ilford South	Labour and Co-operative Party	Mike Gapes	85%
Inverclyde	Labour Party	Iain McKenzie	74%
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Liberal Democrats	Danny Alexander	87%
Ipswich	Conservative Party	Ben Gummer	74%
Isle of Wight	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Iain Mckie	43%
Islington North	Labour Party	Jeremy Corbyn;	83%
Islington South and Finsbury	Labour Party	Emily Thornberry	75%
Islwyn	Labour and Co-operative Party	Chris Evans	52%
Jarrow	Conservative Party	Nick Mason	28%
Keighley	Labour Party	KeighleyLabour	84%
Kenilworth and Southam	Digital Democracy	True Democracy	42%
Kensington	Liberal Democrats	Robin McGhee	53%
Kettering	Labour Party	Rhea Keehn	71%
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Labour and Co-operative Party	Cathy Jamieson K&L	77%
Kingston and Surbiton	Liberal Democrats	Edward Davey	77%
Kingston upon Hull East	Labour Party	Karl Turner	92%
Kingston upon Hull North	Labour Party	Diana Johnson	87%
Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle	Liberal Democrats	Claire Thomas	69%
Kingswood	Conservative Party	Chris Skidmore	44%
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Roger Mullin	78%
Knowsley	Liberal Democrats	Carl Cashman	80%
Lagan Valley	Democratic Unionist Party - D.U.P.	Jeffrey Donaldson	72%
Lanark and Hamilton East	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Cllr Angela Crawley	54%
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Labour Party	Cat Smith	98%
Leeds Central	Labour Party	Hilary Benn	95%
Leeds East	Labour Party	Richard Burgon	61%
Leeds North East	Labour Party	Fabian Hamilton	76%
Leeds North West	Liberal Democrats	Greg Mulholland	73%
Leeds West	Labour Party	Rachel Reeves	91%
Leicester East	Labour Party	Keith Vaz	81%
Leicester South	Labour and Co-operative Party	Jonathan Ashworth	98%
Leicester West	Labour Party	Liz Kendall	96%
Leigh	Labour Party	Andy Burnham	99%
Lewes	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Ray Finch UKIP	34%
Lewisham East	Labour Party	Heidi Alexander	63%
Lewisham West and Penge	Green Party	Tom Chance	45%
Lewisham Deptford	Labour Party	vickyfoxcroft	61%
Leyton and Wanstead	Liberal Democrats	Carl Quilliam	42%
Lichfield	Conservative Party	Michael Fabricant	93%
Lincoln	Labour Party	Lucy Rigby	44%
Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Martyn Day	82%
Liverpool Riverside	Labour and Co-operative Party	Louise Ellman	69%
Liverpool Walton	Labour Party	Steve Rotheram	99%
Liverpool Wavertree	Labour and Co-operative Party	Luciana Berger	88%
Liverpool West Derby	Labour and Co-operative Party	Stephen Twigg	94%
Livingston	Scottish National Party (SNP)	HannahB4LiviMP	64%
Llanelli	Labour Party	Nia Griffith	52%
Loughborough	Conservative Party	Nicky Morgan	95%
Louth and Horncastle	Conservative Party	Victoria Atkins	71%
Ludlow	Conservative Party	Philip Dunne	44%
Luton North	Conservative Party	Dean Russell	87%
Luton South	Labour and Co-operative Party	Gavin Shuker	71%
Macclesfield	Conservative Party	David Rutley	69%
Maidenhead	Labour Party	Charles Smith	56%
Maidstone and The Weald	Conservative Party	Helen Grant	87%
Makerfield	Labour Party	Yvonne Fovargue	61%
Maldon	Liberal Democrats	Zoe O'Connell	91%
Manchester Central	Labour and Co-operative Party	Lucy Powell	71%
Manchester Gorton	Pirate Party UK	Cris Chesha ⚑ PPUK	43%
Manchester Withington	Liberal Democrats	John Leech	60%
Mansfield	Green Party	Paul Frost for MP	69%
Meon Valley	Conservative Party	George Hollingbery	60%
Meriden	Labour Party	Tom McNeil	47%
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Labour Party	Gerald Jones	63%
Mid Bedfordshire	Conservative Party	Nadine Dorries	70%
Mid Derbyshire	Conservative Party	Pauline Latham	82%
Mid Dorset and North Poole	Liberal Democrats	vikki slade	35%
Mid Norfolk	Conservative Party	George Freeman	81%
Mid Sussex	Conservative Party	Nicholas Soames	54%
Mid Ulster	Ulster Unionist Party	Sandra Overend	35%
Mid Worcestershire	Conservative Party	Nigel Huddleston	77%
Middlesbrough	Green Party	Hannah Graham	51%
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Labour Party	Tom Blenkinsop	87%
Midlothian	Labour Party	Kenny Young	68%
Milton Keynes North	Conservative Party	Mark Lancaster	48%
Milton Keynes South	Conservative Party	Iain Stewart	54%
Mitcham and Morden	Labour Party	Siobhain McDonagh	51%
Mole Valley	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Paul Oakley UKIP	68%
Monmouth	Conservative Party	David Davies	66%
Montgomeryshire	Conservative Party	Glyn Davies	70%
Moray	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Angus Robertson	90%
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Conservative Party	David Morris	49%
Morley and Outwood	Labour and Co-operative Party	Ed Balls	97%
Motherwell and Wishaw	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Marion Fellows	57%
Na h-Eileanan an Iar	Scottish National Party (SNP)	VoteMacNeilSNP	51%
Neath	Labour Party	Christina Rees	45%
New Forest East	Labour Party	Andrew Pope	81%
New Forest West	Conservative Party	Desmond Swayne	78%
Newark	Conservative Party	Robert Jenrick	50%
Newbury	Conservative Party	Richard Benyon	76%
Newcastle upon Tyne Central	Labour Party	chi onwurah	94%
Newcastle upon Tyne East	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Paul Phillips	73%
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Labour Party	Catherine McKinnell	92%
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Conservative Party	Tony Cox	40%
Newport East	Labour Party	Jessica Morden	50%
Newport West	Labour Party	Paul Flynn	67%
Newry and Armagh	SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party)	Justin McNulty	37%
Newton Abbot	Conservative Party	Anne Marie Morris	90%
Normanton Pontefract and Castleford	Labour Party	Yvette Cooper	90%
North Antrim	Sinn Féin	Daithí McKay	63%
North Ayrshire and Arran	Labour Party	Katy Clark	55%
North Cornwall	Conservative Party	Scott Mann	53%
North Devon	Liberal Democrats	Nick Harvey	46%
North Dorset	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Steve Unwin	89%
North Down	Green Party	Steven Agnew	66%
North Durham	Labour Party	Kevan Jones 4 MP	97%
North East Bedfordshire	Conservative Party	Alistair Burt	97%
North East Cambridgeshire	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Andrew Charalambous	88%
North East Derbyshire	Labour Party	Natascha Engel	56%
North East Fife	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Stephen Gethins	53%
North East Hampshire	Labour Party	Amran Hussain	94%
North East Hertfordshire	Liberal Democrats	Joe Jordan	38%
North East Somerset	Labour Party	Todd Foreman	58%
North Herefordshire	Labour Party	Cllr Sally Prentice	61%
North Norfolk	Liberal Democrats	Norman Lamb	88%
North Shropshire	Conservative Party	Owen Paterson	78%
North Somerset	Conservative Party	Dr Liam Fox	88%
North Swindon	Conservative Party	Justin Tomlinson MP	79%
North Thanet	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Piers Wauchope	41%
North Tyneside	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Tim Wall	46%
North Warwickshire	Conservative Party	Craig Tracey	41%
North West Cambridgeshire	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Peter Reeve	67%
North West Durham	Labour Party	Pat Glass	96%
North West Hampshire	Conservative Party	Kit Malthouse	69%
North West Leicestershire	Conservative Party	Andrew Bridgen	79%
North West Norfolk	Labour Party	JoAnne Rust	47%
North Wiltshire	Conservative Party	James Gray	79%
Northampton North	Conservative Party	Michael Ellis	63%
Northampton South	Labour Party	Kevin McKeever	65%
Norwich North	Labour Party	Jessica Asato	54%
Norwich South	Liberal Democrats	Simon Wright	41%
Nottingham East	Labour and Co-operative Party	Chris Leslie	85%
Nottingham North	Conservative Party	Louise Burfitt-Dons	46%
Nottingham South	Labour Party	Lilian Greenwood	88%
Nuneaton	English Democrats	English Democrats	36%
Ochil and South Perthshire	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Tasmina Sheikh	78%
Ogmore	Labour Party	Huw Irranca-Davies	91%
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Conservative Party	James Brokenshire	75%
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Labour Party	Debbie Abrahams	93%
Oldham West and Royton	Labour Party	Michael Meacher	93%
Orkney and Shetland	Liberal Democrats	Alistair Carmichael	84%
Orpington	Conservative Party	Jo Johnson	79%
Oxford East	Labour Party	Andrew Smith	46%
Oxford West and Abingdon	Conservative Party	Nicola Blackwood	64%
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Gavin Newlands	78%
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Labour Party	Douglas Alexander	83%
Pendle	Conservative Party	Andrew Stephenson	88%
Penistone and Stocksbridge	Labour Party	angela smith	100%
Penrith and The Border	Conservative Party	Rory Stewart	98%
Perth and North Perthshire	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Pete Wishart	88%
Peterborough	Liberal Democrats	CllrDarrenFower	50%
Plymouth Moor View	Conservative Party	Johnny Mercer	52%
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Labour and Co-operative Party	Luke Pollard	58%
Pontypridd	Labour Party	Owen Smith	79%
Poole	Conservative Party	Robert Syms	45%
Poplar and Limehouse	Red Flag - Anti-Corruption	Rene C Mugenzi	70%
Portsmouth North	Conservative Party	Penny Mordaunt MP	89%
Portsmouth South	Conservative Party	Flick Drummond	29%
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Conservative Party	Stephen Crabb	92%
Preston	Conservative Party	Richard Holden	56%
Pudsey	Labour Party	Jamie Hanley	41%
Putney	Conservative Party	Justine Greening	94%
Rayleigh and Wickford	Liberal Democrats	Mike Pitt	71%
Reading East	Conservative Party	Rob Wilson	65%
Reading West	Labour Party	Victoria Groulef	43%
Redcar	Labour and Co-operative Party	Anna Turley	80%
Redditch	Labour Party	Rebecca Blake	47%
Reigate	Conservative Party	Crispin Blunt	94%
Rhondda	Labour Party	Chris Bryant 2015	96%
Ribble Valley	The Independent Political Alliance Party	Tony Johnson	86%
Richmond (Yorks)	Independent	Robin Scott	55%
Richmond Park	Conservative Party	Zac Goldsmith	91%
Rochdale	Labour Party	Simon Danczuk	89%
Rochester and Strood	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Mark Reckless	72%
Rochford and Southend East	Conservative Party	James Duddridge	84%
Romford	Conservative Party	Andrew Rosindell	48%
Romsey and Southampton North	Conservative Party	Caroline Nokes	63%
Ross Skye and Lochaber	Liberal Democrats	Charles Kennedy	91%
Rossendale and Darwen	Labour Party	Will Straw	72%
Rother Valley	English Democrats	English Democrats	83%
Rotherham	Labour Party	Sarah Champion	85%
Rugby	Conservative Party	Mark Pawsey	72%
Ruislip Northwood and Pinner	Conservative Party	Nick Hurd PPC	80%
Runnymede and Weybridge	Conservative Party	Philip Hammond	91%
Rushcliffe	Green Party	Richard Mallender	85%
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Labour and Co-operative Party	Tom Greatrex	90%
Rutland and Melton	Conservative Party	Alan Duncan	88%
Saffron Walden	Labour Party	Jane-Saffron Walden	50%
Salford and Eccles	Pirate Party UK	Sam Clark	46%
Salisbury	Conservative Party	John Glen	68%
Scarborough and Whitby	Liberal Democrats	Michael Beckett	86%
Scunthorpe	Labour Party	Nic Dakin	88%
Sedgefield	Labour Party	Phil Wilson	55%
Sefton Central	Labour Party	Bill Esterson	86%
Selby and Ainsty	Labour Party	Mark Hayes	53%
Sevenoaks	Liberal Democrats	Alan James Bullion	64%
Sheffield Central	Labour Party	Paul Blomfield	62%
Sheffield South East	Labour Party	Clive Betts	64%
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Maxine Bowler	43%
Sheffield Hallam	Liberal Democrats	Nick Clegg	97%
Sheffield Heeley	Labour Party	Louise Haigh	90%
Sherwood	Conservative Party	MarkSpencer	73%
Shipley	Conservative Party	Philip Davies	87%
Shrewsbury and Atcham	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Suzanne Evans	69%
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Richard Palmer	58%
Skipton and Ripon	Conservative Party	Julian Smith	88%
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First	Marianne Overton MBE	50%
Slough	Labour Party	Fiona Mactaggart	95%
Solihull	Liberal Democrats	Lorely Burt	65%
Somerton and Frome	Conservative Party	David Warburton	81%
South Antrim	Ulster Unionist Party	Danny Kinahan	51%
South Basildon and East Thurrock	Labour Party	Mike Le-Surf	45%
South Cambridgeshire	Labour Party	Dan Greef	49%
South Derbyshire	Conservative Party	Heather Wheeler	66%
South Dorset	Labour Party	SimonBowkett	61%
South Down	SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party)	Margaret Ritchie MP	34%
South East Cambridgeshire	Liberal Democrats	Jonathan Chatfield	35%
South East Cornwall	Conservative Party	Sheryll Murray	74%
South Holland and The Deepings	Green Party	Dan Wilshire	70%
South Leicestershire	Labour Party	Cllr Amanda Hack	85%
South Norfolk	Labour Party	Deborah Sacks	58%
South Northamptonshire	Conservative Party	Andrea Leadsom	93%
South Ribble	Conservative Party	Seema Kennedy	56%
South Shields	Labour Party	Emma Lewell-Buck	79%
South Staffordshire	Conservative Party	Gavin Williamson	98%
South Suffolk	Labour Party	Jane Basham	59%
South Swindon	Conservative Party	Robert Buckland	65%
South Thanet	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Nigel Farage	86%
South West Bedfordshire	Conservative Party	Andrew Selous	100%
South West Devon	Labour Party	Chaz Singh	79%
South West Hertfordshire	Conservative Party	David Gauke	64%
South West Norfolk	Conservative Party	Elizabeth Truss	90%
South West Surrey	Conservative Party	Jeremy Hunt	92%
South West Wiltshire	Labour Party	George Aylett	99%
Southampton Itchen	Labour and Co-operative Party	Rowenna Davis	84%
Southampton Test	Labour Party	Alan Whitehead	58%
Southend West	Labour Party	Julian Ware-Lane	59%
Southport	Liberal Democrats	John Pugh MP	64%
Spelthorne	Conservative Party	Kwasi Kwarteng	60%
St Albans	Liberal Democrats	Sandy Walkington	47%
St Austell and Newquay	Liberal Democrats	Stephen Gilbert	67%
St Helens North	Labour Party	Conor McGinn	88%
St Helens South and Whiston	Green Party	James Chan	58%
St Ives	Liberal Democrats	Andrew George	67%
Stafford	Conservative Party	Jeremy Lefroy	64%
Staffordshire Moorlands	Conservative Party	Karen Bradley	72%
Stalybridge and Hyde	Labour and Co-operative Party	Jonathan Reynolds	93%
Stevenage	Conservative Party	Stephen McPartland	44%
Stirling	Scottish Green Party	Mark Ruskell	39%
Stockport	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Steven Woolfe MEP	49%
Stockton North	Labour Party	Alex Cunningham	80%
Stockton South	Conservative Party	James Wharton	50%
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Labour Party	Tristram Hunt	95%
Stoke-on-Trent North	Labour Party	Ruth Smeeth	52%
Stoke-on-Trent South	Conservative Party	Joe4Stoke	64%
Stone	Conservative Party	Bill Cash	83%
Stourbridge	Conservative Party	margot james	71%
Strangford	Traditional Unionist Voice - TUV	Cllr Stephen Cooper	47%
Stratford-on-Avon	Conservative Party	Nadhim Zahawi	82%
Streatham	Labour Party	Chuka Umunna	94%
Stretford and Urmston	Labour Party	Kate Green	83%
Stroud	Conservative Party	Neil Carmichael	39%
Suffolk Coastal	Conservative Party	Therese Coffey	90%
Sunderland Central	Labour Party	Julie Elliott MP	100%
Surrey Heath	Conservative Party	Michael Gove MP	54%
Sutton Coldfield	Labour Party	Rob Pocock	56%
Sutton and Cheam	Liberal Democrats	Paul Burstow	74%
Swansea East	Labour Party	Carolyn Harris	97%
Swansea West	Labour and Co-operative Party	Geraint Davies MP	75%
Tamworth	Conservative Party	Christopher Pincher	85%
Tatton	Conservative Party	George Osborne	99%
Taunton Deane	Independent	Mike Rigby	30%
Telford	Conservative Party	Lucy Allan	80%
Tewkesbury	Labour Party	Ed Buxton	67%
The Cotswolds	Liberal Democrats	Cllr Paul Hodgkinson	61%
The Wrekin	Conservative Party	Mark Pritchard	47%
Thirsk and Malton	Conservative Party	Kevin Hollinrake	79%
Thornbury and Yate	Liberal Democrats	Steve Webb	80%
Thurrock	Labour Party	Polly Billington	49%
Tiverton and Honiton	Liberal Democrats	Stephen Kearney	56%
Tonbridge and Malling	Conservative Party	Tom Tugendhat	32%
Tooting	Labour Party	Sadiq Khan	95%
Torbay	Liberal Democrats	Adrian Sanders	70%
Torfaen	Labour Party	Nick Thomas-Symonds	55%
Torridge and West Devon	Conservative Party	Geoffrey Cox Q.C.	52%
Totnes	Conservative Party	Sarah Wollaston	93%
Tottenham	Labour Party	David Lammy	94%
Truro and Falmouth	Conservative Party	Sarah Newton	60%
Tunbridge Wells	Conservative Party	Greg Clark	88%
Twickenham	Liberal Democrats	Vince Cable	97%
Tynemouth	Labour Party	Alan Campbell	66%
Upper Bann	Ulster Unionist Party	Jo-Anne Dobson	34%
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Conservative Party	Boris Johnson	61%
Vale of Clwyd	Labour Party	Chris Ruane	57%
Vale of Glamorgan	Conservative Party	Alun Cairns	56%
Vauxhall	Labour Party	Kate Hoey	46%
Wakefield	Labour Party	Mary Creagh	92%
Wallasey	Labour Party	Angela Eagle	97%
Walsall North	Conservative Party	Douglas Hansen-Luke	100%
Walsall South	Labour Party	Valerie Vaz	30%
Walthamstow	Labour and Co-operative Party	stellacreasy	92%
Wansbeck	Labour Party	Ian Lavery	97%
Wantage	Conservative Party	Ed Vaizey	97%
Warley	Labour Party	john spellar	84%
Warrington North	Conservative Party	Richard Short	44%
Warrington South	Labour Party	Nick Bent	41%
Warwick and Leamington	Conservative Party	Chris White	83%
Washington and Sunderland West	Labour Party	SharonHodgson4MP	94%
Watford	Conservative Party	Richard Harrington	59%
Waveney	Conservative Party	Peter Aldous	55%
Wealden	Liberal Democrats	Giles Goodall	55%
Weaver Vale	Conservative Party	Graham Evans	83%
Wellingborough	Conservative Party	Peter Bone	76%
Wells	Liberal Democrats	Tessa 4 Wells	76%
Welwyn Hatfield	Conservative Party	Grant Shapps	87%
Wentworth and Dearne	Labour Party	John Healey MP	86%
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine	Scottish National Party (SNP)	Stuart Donaldson	36%
West Bromwich East	Labour Party	tom_watson	99%
West Bromwich West	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Graham Eardley	90%
West Dorset	Labour Party	Rachel Rogers	71%
West Dunbartonshire	Labour and Co-operative Party	Gemma Doyle	78%
West Ham	Labour Party	Lyn Brown	57%
West Lancashire	Labour Party	Rosie Cooper	65%
West Suffolk	Conservative Party	Matt Hancock	97%
West Tyrone	Ulster Unionist Party	ROSS HUSSEY	34%
West Worcestershire	Conservative Party	Harriett Baldwin	80%
Westminster North	Labour Party	Karen Buck	75%
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Liberal Democrats	Tim Farron	97%
Weston-Super-Mare	Conservative Party	John Penrose WsM	90%
Wigan	Labour Party	Lisa Nandy	91%
Wimbledon	Conservative Party	Stephen Hammond	57%
Winchester	Conservative Party	Steve Brine	90%
Windsor	Green Party	Derek Wall	70%
Wirral South	Labour Party	Alison McGovern	97%
Wirral West	Conservative Party	Esther McVey	92%
Witham	Labour Party	John Clarke	71%
Witney	Conservative Party	David Cameron	98%
Woking	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Rob Burberry	46%
Wokingham	Conservative Party	John Redwood	76%
Wolverhampton North East	Labour Party	Emma Reynolds	76%
Wolverhampton South East	Labour Party	Pat McFadden	96%
Wolverhampton South West	Conservative Party	Paul Uppal	88%
Worcester	Conservative Party	Robin Walker	40%
Workington	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Mark Jenkinson	63%
Worsley and Eccles South	Labour Party	Barbara Keeley	72%
Worthing West	Conservative Party	Sir Peter Bottomley	71%
Wrexham	Labour Party	Ian Lucas	55%
Wycombe	Conservative Party	Steve Baker	89%
Wyre Forest	Conservative Party	Mark Garnier	78%
Wyre and Preston North	Conservative Party	Ben Wallace	47%
Wythenshawe and Sale East	Labour Party	Mike Kane	56%
Yeovil	Conservative Party	Marcus Fysh	85%
Ynys Môn	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	Nathan Gill	45%
York Central	Labour and Co-operative Party	Rachael Maskell	38%
York Outer	Liberal Democrats	James Blanchard	37%

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