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	<title>xmas &#8211; Terence Eden’s Blog</title>
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	<description>Regular nonsense about tech and its effects 🙃</description>
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	<title>xmas &#8211; Terence Eden’s Blog</title>
	<link>https://shkspr.mobi/blog</link>
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		<title><![CDATA[So, this is Christmas?]]></title>
		<link>https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2022/12/so-this-is-christmas/</link>
					<comments>https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2022/12/so-this-is-christmas/#comments</comments>
				<dc:creator><![CDATA[@edent]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Dec 2022 12:34:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[/etc/]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[xmas]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://shkspr.mobi/blog/?p=44290</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Church of England publishes statistics about the numbers of its faithful. These are particularly interesting in light of the recent news that the UK no-longer has a Christian majority.  The CofE&#039;s statistics are for 2019 - before COVID messed up everything - and I think offer a fascinating glimpse into its future.  The two figures which struck me were:   89,000 baptisms during 2019 114,000…]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Church of England <a href="https://www.churchofengland.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/2019StatisticsForMission.pdf">publishes statistics about the numbers of its faithful</a>. These are particularly interesting in light of the recent news that <a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/culturalidentity/religion/bulletins/religionenglandandwales/census2021">the UK no-longer has a Christian majority</a>.</p>

<p>The CofE's statistics are for 2019 - before COVID messed up everything - and I think offer a fascinating glimpse into its future.</p>

<p>The two figures which struck me were:</p>

<ul>
<li>89,000 baptisms during 2019</li>
<li>114,000 funerals during 2019</li>
</ul>

<p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/12/church-of-england-attendance-falls-below-million-first-time">Back in 2014, the numbers were</a>:</p>

<ul>
<li>130,000 baptisms</li>
<li>146,000 funerals</li>
</ul>

<p>The good news is fewer funerals. The bad news is fewer baptisms.  In the intervening 5 years, the Church went from losing 16,000 members per year to now losing 25,000 members per year.</p>

<p>Now, not everyone who enters the Church does so via baptism. And not all of those that do will become a worshipper. Similarly, not every CofE funeral is conducted on behalf of a worshipper, and not every worshipper will want a religious funeral.  But those are the numbers we have to work with. So let's take them as gospel.</p>

<p>So how many people does the CofE count as worshippers?  There are many ways to count that.</p>

<ul>
<li>690,000 - usual Sunday attendance</li>
<li>1,100,000 - regular worshippers</li>
<li>2,330,000 - attended churches at Christmas</li>
</ul>

<p>How have those numbers changed over the last decade?</p>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
  <th align="right">Measure of Church of England participation</th>
  <th align="left">Change from<br>2009 to 2019</th>
  <th align="left">Correlation<br>coefficient</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Adult average weekly+Child average Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-17%</td>
  <td align="left">0.93</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Adult average weekly attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-15%</td>
  <td align="left">0.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Adult average Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-18%</td>
  <td align="left">0.95</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Child average Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-30%</td>
  <td align="left">0.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">All age average Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-20%</td>
  <td align="left">0.95</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">All age Usual Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-16%</td>
  <td align="left">0.99</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Adult Usual Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-14%</td>
  <td align="left">0.99</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Child Usual Sunday attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-27%</td>
  <td align="left">0.98</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Easter attendance</td>
  <td align="left">-17%</td>
  <td align="left">0.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Easter communicants</td>
  <td align="left">-18%</td>
  <td align="left">0.91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Christmas attendance</td>
  <td align="left">+1%</td>
  <td align="left">0.01</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Christmas communicants</td>
  <td align="left">-16%</td>
  <td align="left">0.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Baptisms and thanksgivings</td>
  <td align="left">-37%</td>
  <td align="left">0.90</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Marriages and services of prayer &amp; dedication</td>
  <td align="left">-42%</td>
  <td align="left">0.91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Funerals total</td>
  <td align="left">-31%</td>
  <td align="left">0.97</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Funerals in church</td>
  <td align="left">-18%</td>
  <td align="left">0.91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
  <td align="right">Funerals in crematoria/cemeteries</td>
  <td align="left">-45%</td>
  <td align="left">0.98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p>I know many people will be wary of drawing a conclusion from two data points over ten years.  Helpfully, the report contains data going back to the 1960s.</p>

<img src="https://shkspr.mobi/blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Screenshot-2022-11-29-at-17-00-54-2019StatisticsForMission.pdf.png" alt="Graph showing all forms of worship steadily decreasing." width="1376" height="774" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-44295">

<p><small>(NB <a href="https://www.churchofengland.org/about/leadership-and-governance/legal-services/church-representation-rules/part-1">Electoral Roll</a> refers to the <em>Church's</em> list of congregants. Not those for civic elections.)</small></p>

<p>The 2021 Census says that <a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/culturalidentity/religion/bulletins/religionenglandandwales/census2021">46% of people describe themselves as Christian</a>. It doesn't break down into denomination. And, crucially, it doesn't attempt to answer whether someone is religious or simply a member of the culture.  There are lots of people who haven't stepped foot in a church since their infant baptism who, nevertheless, might say they are Christian.</p>

<p>There are many ways to be a Christian. They don't all involve sitting on a pew. And there are a great many Churches outside of the CofE. And the religion of the state doesn't necessarily apply to all those within its borders.  The report does point out that Christmas attendance is up - and there are lots of outreach projects which are doing well.</p>

<p>But...</p>

<p>What now?</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title><![CDATA[Utilizing Quantum BlockChain for 6th Generation Neural Networks]]></title>
		<link>https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2020/12/utilizing-quantum-blockchain-for-6th-generation-neural-networks/</link>
					<comments>https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2020/12/utilizing-quantum-blockchain-for-6th-generation-neural-networks/#comments</comments>
				<dc:creator><![CDATA[@edent]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Dec 2020 12:52:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[/etc/]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Satire (Probably)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[xmas]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://shkspr.mobi/blog/?p=37583</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This pre-release whitepaper is a multidisciplinary approach to the challenges associated with using Quantum BlockChain technology to improve the performance of 6th Generation data networks for their performance with neural objects.  By reconceptualising the way the nano-structures of 5th Generation (5G) networks interface with the OSI stack of traditional networks, we have found a way to perform…]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This pre-release whitepaper is a multidisciplinary approach to the challenges associated with using Quantum BlockChain technology to improve the performance of 6th Generation data networks for their performance with neural objects.</p>

<p>By reconceptualising the way the nano-structures of 5th Generation (5G) networks interface with the OSI stack of traditional networks, we have found a way to perform novel temporal manipulation of the bitstream to deliver data at super-luminal speeds.</p>

<p>Quantum BlockChain will accelerate the way Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) is revolutionising the world. As Quantum BlockChain harnesses the superior AI performance of Neural Networks, we conceive a <em>factorial</em> growth in data interchange speeds. This leads to a position where the Internet of Things becomes the Internet of <em>Emotions</em>.</p>

<p>Through the use of React Native, the acceleration of Ethereum contracts will make obsolete any previous BlockChain. This will allow us to replace BitCoin with a tiny Crystal called Gerald. We believe Gerald will usher in a new realm of digital progress. Crystals have natural healing properties, and Gerald vibrates at the same cosmic frequency as the Internet. Quantum Crystals will BlockChain the Neural AI.</p>

<p>Why is is that every snake-oil startup sounds like this?</p>

<p>No. I've had a few drinks, but I wouldn't say I'm <em>drunk</em>.</p>
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			<slash:comments>8</slash:comments>
		
		
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